Paper

Would following the rail's signals have paid? Two simulated strategies buy and sell on paper at stored quotes. Nothing is ever traded.

Simulation. No transaction is ever sent; fills are stored quotes.

Buys on paper: first fresh reading 25 s after a $75k cross · delayed-confirmation@1

Holding (paper)

the machine's open orders

Closed orders

223

0 ended without a quote

Profitable on quotes

24 / 223 · 11% (7.3–16%)

closed orders with a positive quoted return

Pending decisions

expire 10m after creation

Returns against the baseline

Signal return from the trigger price; quoted return from stored quotes.

Strategy	Signal return	Quoted return
Delayed confirmation delayed-confirmation@1	mean −28.1% · median −58.4% · n 223	mean −36.1% · median −60.3% · n 223
Watch entry watch-entry@1	n 0 · mean and median at 30 closed	n 0 · mean and median at 30 closed
Owner-accepted orders delayed-confirmation@1	n 0 · mean and median at 30 closed	n 0 · mean and median at 30 closed
every eligible Watch coin at first Watch tick	mean −33.1% · median −53.0% · n 106	no quotes

Swipe for quoted returns →

Entry gate · delayed-confirmation@1

Every decision of the gate, one per coin per status change, by reason.

Status	Reason	Decisions	Coins	Last
waiting	no fresh reading 25 s after the cross yet	349	349	15 Oct 05:31 UTC
refused	safety	314	311	15 Oct 05:30 UTC
refused	confirm, safety	103	102	15 Oct 01:55 UTC
refused	lane, safety	74	71	15 Oct 05:46 UTC
passed	RECONCILED	72	72	12 Oct 08:31 UTC
refused	confirm	24	24	12 Oct 08:52 UTC
refused	lane	19	19	15 Oct 00:51 UTC
refused	confirm, lane, safety	18	18	14 Oct 22:56 UTC
refused	confirm, lane	9	9	12 Oct 07:12 UTC
refused	safety, flow	5	5	13 Oct 15:27 UTC
refused	confirm, safety, flow	2	2	13 Oct 18:50 UTC
deferred	jupiter HTTP 429	1	1	9 Oct 16:50 UTC
refused	lane, safety, flow	1	1	12 Oct 16:32 UTC
refused	venue, safety	1	1	10 Oct 22:15 UTC

Swipe for decisions, coins and the last one →

Pending intents · 0

The owner accepts or rejects each one on paper. Each pending intent has an automatic twin filled at once, so the machine's record exists either way.

No intent is waiting for a decision.

Holding (paper) · 1

BOMBERSorder 137exiting (paper)machine8 Oct 13:53 UTC
Fill price
$0.0001258
Signal return
+284%
Quoted return
—
Exit
open
Event timeline · 6
1. 1. signal 8 Oct 13:53 UTCtrigger 0.0001220 · auto
2. 2. checked 8 Oct 13:53 UTCchecks 6
3. 3. quoted 8 Oct 13:53 UTCjupiter · quote 0.0001258 · impact 260.0 bps
4. 4. filled on paper 8 Oct 13:53 UTCfill 0.0001258 · qty 1987017 · in $250.0
5. 5. holding (paper) 8 Oct 13:53 UTCvs trigger 312.8 bps
6. 6. exiting (paper) 13 Oct 23:31 UTCtarget_3x · quote 0.0003675 · sold 662339

In progress · newest 0

No order is between its signal and its fill.

Finished · newest 100

Coin	Order	Exit	Signal	Quoted
Gem	224closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.7%	−44.6%
TOKEN	223closedmachine	price_down_50	−55.4%	−51.4%
SCAT	222closedmachine	price_down_50	−59.1%	−61.6%
RAVEN	221closedmachine	price_down_50	−56.7%	−60.6%
Attention	220closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.8%	−55.9%
Gambling+	219closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.2%	−51.1%
AB84	218closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.0%	−55.1%
WALTER	217closedmachine	price_down_50	−49.3%	−52.8%
BOTS	216closedmachine	price_down_50	−52.3%	−58.2%
qpcsbdef	215closedmachine	pool_down_50	−87.9%	−74.4%
Ads	214closedmachine	price_down_50	−51.0%	−45.3%
QDESK	213closedmachine	price_down_50	−65.3%	−54.5%
emojibutt	212closedmachine	pool_down_50	+93.5%	−2.5%
Jarvis	211closedmachine	price_down_50	−51.3%	−56.3%
qLAB	210closedmachine	price_down_50	−56.8%	−54.4%
BILLSMITH	209closedmachine	price_down_50	−71.1%	−68.0%
FortniteOG	208closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.9%	−53.5%
TP	207closedmachine	price_down_50	−46.9%	−55.3%
QUANTEK	206closedmachine	pool_down_50	−78.2%	−71.5%
IQ	205closedmachine	price_down_50	−54.2%	−43.7%
POPPADUMB	204closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.8%	−55.3%
Spiralism	203closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.2%	−49.2%
Sludge	202closedmachine	price_down_50	−63.2%	−68.3%
HYBRID	201closedmachine	pool_down_50	−76.4%	−75.4%
FORK	200closedmachine	pool_down_50	−97.0%	−98.0%
PILBO	199closedmachine	price_down_50	−59.1%	−58.1%
Nidal	198closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.9%	−53.2%
LCAT	197closedmachine	pool_down_50	−7.3%	+3.7%
QSB	196closedmachine	pool_down_50	−13.7%	−71.0%
MogCat	195closedmachine	pool_down_50	−95.9%	−96.0%
JPAD	194closedmachine	price_down_50	+31.2%	+75.6%
holyshit	193closedmachine	price_down_50	+215%	+149%
Cl*nker	192closedmachine	loser_class:launch_dump	+46.3%	−33.4%
ARCADE	191closedmachine	pool_down_50	−96.8%	−97.3%
SIGMAPHIL	190closedmachine	pool_down_50	−96.9%	−97.2%
DNS	189closedmachine	price_down_50	−66.6%	−83.2%
ARKUM	188closedmachine	price_down_50	−66.9%	−50.7%
Hitler	187closedmachine	price_down_50	−60.7%	−62.9%
4206066	186closedmachine	price_down_50	−63.5%	−50.8%
QCAT	185closedmachine	price_down_50	−54.8%	−52.9%
QI	184closedmachine	target_10x	+616%	+513%
REA	183closedmachine	price_down_50	−41.0%	−67.1%
berry	182closedmachine	price_down_50	−51.9%	−57.4%
LUNA	181closedmachine	price_down_50	−54.9%	−65.4%
BUNDLED	180closedmachine	price_down_50	−56.1%	−42.7%
FRENCHCAT	179closedmachine	price_down_50	−40.6%	−97.3%
FI	178closedmachine	price_down_50	−52.7%	−59.2%
SOCIAL	177closedmachine	pool_down_50	−82.0%	−89.0%
PICKAXE	176closedmachine	price_down_50	−57.6%	−46.5%
kumo	175closedmachine	price_down_50	−53.7%	−58.3%
UNICORN	174closedmachine	price_down_50	−39.8%	−30.3%
OP_CAT	173closedmachine	price_down_50	−52.3%	−58.4%
SUB-01	172closedmachine	pool_down_50	−79.0%	−82.7%
H2O	171closedmachine	price_down_50	−57.6%	−62.8%
bazucat	170closedmachine	price_down_50	−57.1%	−51.7%
RWA	169closedmachine	price_down_50	+36.8%	+24.4%
COIN	168closedmachine	loser_class:launch_dump	+393%	+243%
GAME	167closedmachine	pool_down_50	−97.2%	−97.2%
BRIDGES	166closedmachine	price_down_50	−50.1%	−41.4%
Hive	165closedmachine	pool_down_50	−87.0%	−86.3%
QUBIT	164closedmachine	pool_down_50	−78.9%	−85.2%
SI	163closedmachine	price_down_50	−56.3%	−74.3%
SD	162closedmachine	pool_down_50	−97.0%	−97.5%
vamp	161closedmachine	price_down_50	+228%	+339%
PUMPCOIN	160closedmachine	price_down_50	−61.1%	−40.3%
Facebook	159closedmachine	price_down_50	−68.9%	−62.0%
DEGENT	158closedmachine	target_10x	+519%	+522%
X	157closedmachine	price_down_50	−58.4%	−54.5%
Animal	156closedmachine	price_down_50	+37.9%	+44.2%
Alcebíades	155closedmachine	price_down_50	−52.1%	−66.8%
k1tty	154closedmachine	pool_down_50	−96.7%	−97.1%
INCELS	153closedmachine	price_down_50	−63.5%	−61.9%
PVE	152closedmachine	pool_down_50	−96.5%	−97.0%
PAIRIT	151closedmachine	price_down_50	−57.9%	−73.1%
Instagram	150closedmachine	price_down_50	−63.9%	−63.8%
Instagram	149closedmachine	price_down_50	−69.3%	−62.4%
TRUCKY	148closedmachine	price_down_50	−42.2%	−34.6%
OFFICIAL	147closedmachine	price_down_50	−63.2%	−75.7%
RAFS	146closedmachine	price_down_50	−51.3%	−76.9%
Quantum	145closedmachine	loser_class:launch_dump	+25.3%	−41.2%
Shelter	144closedmachine	price_down_50	+33.3%	−6.6%
Offchain	143closedmachine	price_down_50	−39.9%	−54.7%
$NITE	142closedmachine	price_down_50	−74.9%	−77.9%
Altruists	141closedmachine	pool_down_50	−14.3%	+0.3%
texcat	140closedmachine	price_down_50	−65.2%	−62.0%
Mario64	139closedmachine	pool_down_50	−81.5%	−78.8%
401si(k)	138closedmachine	price_down_50	−53.7%	−76.1%
4206066	136closedmachine	price_down_50	+43.1%	−49.1%
Stonked	135closedmachine	price_down_50	−61.3%	−87.5%
[cat]	134closedmachine	pool_down_50	+418%	+142%
BUNKER	133closedmachine	price_down_50	−47.7%	−53.4%
Pumpcord	132closedmachine	price_down_50	−69.0%	−88.5%
Gunner	131closedmachine	pool_down_50	−96.9%	−97.4%
wrld	130closedmachine	price_down_50	+20.6%	+45.6%
URI-M	129closedmachine	price_down_50	−55.4%	−49.3%
BOZ	128closedmachine	pool_down_50	−89.2%	−90.5%
FPES	127closedmachine	pool_down_50	−99.4%	−99.4%
iCoin	126closedmachine	price_down_50	−46.3%	−55.7%
FIX	125closedmachine	price_down_50	−59.9%	−62.5%
BABY ZCAT	124closedmachine	time_7d	−10.0%	−21.3%

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