Paper

Would following the rail's signals have paid? Two simulated strategies buy and sell on paper at stored quotes. Nothing is ever traded.

Simulation. No transaction is ever sent; fills are stored quotes.

Buys on paper: first fresh reading 25 s after a coin's first Watch entry; refuses a pending kill and a pool under $12,500 · watch-entry@1

Holding (paper)

the machine's open orders

4 ended without a quote

none yet

closed orders with a positive quoted return

expire 10m after creation

Signal return from the trigger price; quoted return from stored quotes.

Strategy	Signal return	Quoted return
Delayed confirmation delayed-confirmation@1	mean −28.1% · median −58.4% · n 223	mean −36.1% · median −60.3% · n 223
Watch entry watch-entry@1	n 0 · mean and median at 30 closed	n 0 · mean and median at 30 closed
Owner-accepted orders watch-entry@1	n 0 · mean and median at 30 closed	n 0 · mean and median at 30 closed
every eligible Watch coin at first Watch tick	mean −33.1% · median −53.0% · n 106	no quotes

Swipe for quoted returns →

Every decision of the gate, one per coin per status change, by reason.

Status	Reason	Decisions	Coins	Last
waiting	no fresh reading 25 s after the Watch entry yet	6	6	15 Oct 08:22 UTC
passed	QUOTE_REJECTED	4	4	15 Oct 08:24 UTC
refused	confirm, lane, safety	3	3	15 Oct 01:24 UTC
refused	confirm, lane	1	1	13 Oct 21:18 UTC

Swipe for decisions, coins and the last one →

The owner accepts or rejects each one on paper. Each pending intent has an automatic twin filled at once, so the machine's record exists either way.

No intent is waiting for a decision.

No paper position is held.

No order is between its signal and its fill.

Coin	Order	Exit	Signal	Quoted
ANTI	228no quotemachine	QUOTE_REJECTED	—	—
BORRO	227no quotemachine	QUOTE_REJECTED	—	—
hXMAX	226no quotemachine	QUOTE_REJECTED	—	—
¥	225no quotemachine	QUOTE_REJECTED	—	—

Swipe for returns and events →